We publish selected questions from our coverage as rounded probability ranges, each with its daily history. The full assessments, with exact probabilities, evidence and reasoning, are in the workspace.
Request accessIllustrative public assessment
An illustrative question about a central bank's June rate decision, published as a 5-point band with a dated history.
Each entry is a defined question with a deadline. The headline range is the probability published for the latest date; the chart shows the range published on each day, so you can see how the view moved.
Public ranges are rounded display bands, not confidence intervals: a narrower band does not mean more confidence. Exact estimates are available in the workspace.
Ranges show the level and direction of a view without publishing the exact estimate. Exact probabilities, and the reasoning behind them, are part of the workspace.
Coverage is scoped with each customer around your domains, question set, and review cadence. Tell us what you need to monitor when you request access.
Request access. A qualified evaluation gives your reviewers the complete assessments within an agreed coverage scope.
Tell us the topic and time horizon that matter to your team, and we will scope an evaluation around them.
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